SUMMARY
The article from The Financial Express, published on June 14, 2025, titled "Platinum beats gold, silver so far in 2025. Is it the next big investment idea?" highlights platinum's strong performance compared to gold and silver in 2025 and evaluates its investment potential.
Key points
- Performance in 2025: Platinum has surged by 40% year-to-date, outperforming gold (up 30%) and silver (up 26%). Over the last month, platinum gained 30%, compared to 7% for gold and 13% for silver. Platinum's current price is $1,250 per ounce, a four-year high last seen in April 2021, though below its all-time high of $2,166 in April 2008.
- Price Drivers: The recent spike is driven by speculative buying and global ETF demand, according to the World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC). Platinum’s primary uses include automotive catalytic converters, chemical and electrical industries, and petroleum refining. South Africa supplies 80% of global production, followed by Russia and North America. The WPIC forecasts a supply deficit in 2025, with declining demand, which could support higher prices.
- Gold-to-Platinum Ratio: This ratio, which compares gold and platinum prices, indicates relative valuation. Historically, it ranges between 1 and 2, but in May 2025, it hit 3.5, suggesting gold was overvalued relative to platinum. After platinum’s recent surge, the ratio dropped to 2.7, implying platinum’s catch-up rally may have room to grow if the ratio reverts closer to its long-term average.
- Historical Context: Platinum prices have been volatile, with significant spikes in 1980 (350% rise from $190 to $900 in two years) and 2008. Otherwise, prices often remain range-bound, with long periods of stability followed by sharp movements. As of January 2025, platinum was around $900, indicating the current rally is relatively recent.
- Market Sentiment: Posts on X reflect growing bullishness on platinum, with some users predicting a secular bull market and significant outperformance over gold and silver. They cite a 15-year breakout, structural supply deficits, and a 300% year-on-year increase in Q1 2025 jewelry sales. However, these claims lack independent verification and should be treated cautiously.
- Investment Outlook: The article suggests platinum’s supply-demand dynamics and undervaluation relative to gold make it an attractive investment. However, its volatility and dependence on industrial demand (unlike gold’s safe-haven status) pose risks. The WPIC’s deficit forecast and ETF inflows support a bullish case, but investors should consider platinum’s historical boom-bust cycles.
- Critical Notes: While platinum’s 2025 performance is impressive, its industrial reliance (e.g., automotive sector) makes it sensitive to economic slowdowns, unlike gold, which benefits from safe-haven demand during crises. The article’s bullish tone aligns with market sentiment but may downplay risks like potential demand declines or geopolitical shifts affecting supply chains. Always consult a financial advisor before investing, as the article advises.
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